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Wednesday, April 28, 2010


Stage Addiction: UPDATE, 2010 Tony Predix, Part II


Continuing with the Tony Award Nomination predictions from yesterday, here are my best guesses for the musical performances of 2010!

John Gallagher, Jr., American Idiot
Sean Hayes, Promises, Promises
Douglas Hodge, La Cage aux Folles
Chad Kimball, Memphis
Sahr Ngaujah, Fela!

Dark Horses: Kelsey Grammer, La Cage Aux Folles; Alexander Hanson, A Little Night Music; Nathan Lane, The Addams Family
Long Shots: Jim Norton, Finian's Rainbow; Robert Petkoff, Ragtime
Also Rans: James Clow, Irving Berlin's White Christmas; Quentin Earl Darrington, Ragtime; Cheyenne Jackson, Finian's Rainbow

The most competitive category of the year, hands down. Essentially, you've got a dozen great performances, with eight or nine Tony-worthy turns among them. Will the Tony committee deign to put Nathan Lane on the bench? Can Sean Hayes overcome growing negative buzz for Promises? Can Gallagher get older voters grooving along to punk rock? Do the romantic charms of La Cage merit two nominations here? Will long-simmering fans of Finian and Ragtime decide to make their affections known? Your guess, as they say, is as good as mine.

Kate Baldwin, Finian's Rainbow
Kristin Chenoweth, Promises, Promises
Montego Glover, Memphis
Sherie Rene Scott, Everyday Rapture
Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music

Dark Horse: Bebe Neuwirth, The Addams Family
Long Shot: Christiane Noll, Ragtime
Also Rans: Melissa Errico, Irving Berlin's White Christmas

Three months ago, if you told me that a Broadway titan like Neuwirth would be passed over for an unknown like Glover, I'd have bought your ticket to Bellevue. But truthfully, I'm pretty confident that it's going to happen...as mind-boggling as it may be. Kristin Chenoweth should thank her lucky stars that she has aggressive producers working the votes for her...and that the Tony Administrative Committee decided to put Sondheim On Sondheim's Barbara Cook and Vanessa Williams into the Featured category.

Robin de Jesus, La Cage Aux Folles
Levi Kreis, Million Dollar Quartet
Charlie Neshyba-Hughes, Come Fly Away
Bobby Steggert, Ragtime
Tony Vincent, American Idiot

Dark Horses: Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family; Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian's Rainbow; Lance Guest, Million Dollar Quartet; Tom Wopat, Sondheim on Sondheim
Long Shot: Dick Latessa, Promises, Promises
Also Rans: Bill Irwin, Bye Bye Birdie; Norm Lewis, Sondheim on Sondheim

If there are fans out there of The Addams Family -- and really, there must be one or two, right? Right? -- Chamberlin is the show's best hope for a performance nod. But it's hard to argue with the career-making, show-stopping performances of Kreis, Neshyba-Hughes, Steggert and Vincent, as stunning a quartet of newcomers as Broadway has ever seen. And de Jesus, a recent Tony nominee for In The Heights, has solidified his status as Broadway's most adorable comic upstart.

Barbara Cook, Sondheim on Sondheim
Katie Finneran, Promises, Promises
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music
Lillias White, Fela!
Vanessa Williams, Sondheim on Sondheim

Dark Horse: Carolee Carmello, The Addams Family; Rebecca Naomi Jones, American Idiot; Karine Plantadit, Come Fly Away
Long Shot: Cass Morgan, Memphis; Terri White, Finian's Rainbow
Also Rans: Elizabeth Stanley, Million Dollar Quartet

Although Lansbury is the prohibitive favorite, one can't deny the razzle-dazzle firepower that Finneran and White provided to their productions. And the ladies from Sondheim on Sondheim are its most alluring feature. But what if the fans of other, lesser shows decide to make a statement? This is where that's most likely to happen, I think; from where I sat, Carmello was the best thing about Addams, Jones lit up American Idiot, and there could be a surge of voter support for either Plantadit (brilliant dancer!) or Terri White (brilliant singer!). Even Cass Morgan has been getting buzz recently.

Coming next: The Plays!
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Blogger Jill said...

Happy to see ModFab love for American Idiot. Of course I was predisposed to like it, but I was enthralled from the minute the strobe lights started up. I wasn't even the oldest person at the matinee Melina and I went to; there was an old guy who was seventy if he was a day telling a bunch of kids it was his third time already.

4/28/10, 5:37 PM  

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