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Monday, December 10, 2007

 

Oscar-ology: Boston and Los Angeles Lay The Smack Down

Now don't fret, I won't be covering every city's movie awards -- these days, every burg over 10 people seems to have its own best-of list -- but Boston and L.A. got out of the gate first, before New York announces later today. My thoughts follow each section:

LOS ANGELES FILM CRITICS ASSOCIATION

DIRECTOR: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Runner-up: Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

ACTRESS: Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose
Runner-up: Anamaria Marinca, 4 Months 3 Weeks and 2 Days

ACTOR: Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Runner-up: Frank Langella, Starting Out in the Evening

SCREENPLAY: Tamara Jenkins, The Savages
Runner-up: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood

SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone and Before The Devil Knows You're Dead
Runner-up: Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There

SUPPORTING ACTOR: Vlad Ivanov, 4 Months 3 Weeks and 2 Days
Runner-up: Hal Holbrook, “Into the Wild"

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: 4 Months 3 Weeks and 2 Days
Runner-up: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

DOCUMENTARY/NON-FICTION FILM: No End In Sight
Runner-up: Sicko

PRODUCTION DESIGN: Jack Fisk, There Will Be Blood
Runner-up: Dante Ferretti, Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

ANIMATION: (tie) Ratatouille and Persepolis

MUSIC: Glen Hansard and Marketa Irglova, Once
Runner-up: Jonny Greenwood, There Will Be Blood

CINEMATOGRAPHY: Janusz Kaminski, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Runner-up: Robert Elswit, There Will Be Blood

NEW GENERATION: Sarah Polley, Away From Her

MODFAB THINKS...that Los Angeles critics like to see themselves as kingmakers in the Oscar race. They tend to make bold statements with the LAFCA nominations, and this year that statement is a whopping landside of support for Paul Thomas Anderson's oil-slicked drama There Will Be Blood. This is the first big set of wins for the film, and a big boost for its profile in the race. But that wasn't the only newsworthy event here; the heavy push for Romania's foreign film entry, 4 Months 3 Weeks and 2 Days, seems designed to increase the film's reach into major categories...which would require, I think, a much larger studio push than it's currently getting. What's most interesting, however, is that Blood and 4 Months are a little more stately than the films L.A. usually chooses...I was expecting that they'd give more love to flashy, higher-profile flicks like Sweeney Todd and Juno. If their choices are confirmed by New York and the National Society of Film Critics, however -- and it's quite conceivable that both groups could honor There Will Be Blood -- that would be enough to create the impression of Consensus. And that would be huge.

BOSTON ASSOCIATION OF FILM CRITICS

Best Picture: No Country For Old Men

Best Director: Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Best Actor: Frank Langella, Starting Out in the Evening

Best Actress: Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose

Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem, No Country For Old Men

Best Supporting Actress: Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone

Best Cinematography: Janusz Kaminski, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Best Screenplay: Brad Bird, Ratatouille

Best Documentary: Crazy Love

Best Foreign-Language Film: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Best New Filmmaker: Ben Affleck, Gone Baby Gone

Best Ensemble Cast: Before The Devil Knows You're Dead

MODFAB THINKS...that the BSFC tends to pick hometown favorites, so the love for Gone Baby Gone is to be expected. (Last year, they chose Beantown-set The Departed as Best Film; two years before that, it was Mystic River.) Still, it can't all be dismissed as regional pride; Amy Ryan has to be considered a near-lock for Supporting Actress at this point, with almost all precursors so far giving her some kind of attention. The Bostonians also continued the positive trends for Diving Bell and No Country...as well as the downward spiral for I'm Not There. I think the film is officially in toruble; beyond a cursory nomination for Blanchett, Haynes' biopic will need some serious attention from the New York film critics to stay in the race. (They just might do that...the NYFCC picked Haynes' Far From Heaven as Best Film in 2002. We'll know later today!)

Previous 2008 Oscar-ology:
- National Board of Review Winners
- Golden Satellite Nominations
- Independent Spirit Nominations

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1 Comments:

Anonymous will g said...

Do you really think I'm Not There, critics or no critics, has ever had a chance for nominations aside from Cate? Far From Heaven was a coherent Hollywood-ish piece, while this is oblique and fragmented. I say it's chances are blowin' in ... never mind.

12/10/07, 11:42 PM  

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