2007 Verve Awards

2006 Verve Awards


Best Arts and Culture Blog 2005 Queer Day Awards

Best Gay Blog Nominee 2004 Weblog Awards

Best Arts and Culture Blog Nominee

Friday, May 12, 2006

 

2006 Tony Predictions: The Men

Continuing our Tony Award preview in preparation for next week's nominations, it's time to separate the Men from the (History/Jersey) Boys. Here's what we're thinking when it comes to theatrical testosterone:

BEST LEADING ACTOR, PLAY
ModFab Predicts: Ralph Fiennes, Faith Healer; Richard Griffiths, The History Boys; Brian F. O'Byrne, Shining City; John Slattery, Rabbit Hole; David Wilmot, The Lieutenant of Inishmore
Spoilers: Mark Ruffalo, Awake and Sing!; Oliver Platt, Shining City; Antony Sher, Primo

There's something to be said for the Europeans, and we think a trio of them -- Fiennes, Griffiths and Wilmot -- will lead the pack this season. But lest anyone get up in arms over an anti-American slate of nominees, the solid (if unremarkable) work by Slattery will hold up our national pride. The questions marks remain with Ruffalo, who could ride the building wave surrounding Awake and Sing!, and Platt, who is onstage almost as much as O'Byrne and who has the showier part in Shining City. Either American could upset the transatlantic apple cart.

BEST LEADING ACTOR, MUSICAL
ModFab Predicts: Michael Cerveris, Sweeney Todd; Harry Connick, Jr., The Pajama Game; Alan Cumming, The Threepenny Opera; Bob Martin, The Drowsy Chaperone; John Lloyd Young, Jersey Boys
Spoiler: Kingsley Leggs, The Color Purple

The only real question here is Cumming, a Tony veteran (for Cabaret) doing substandard work reminiscent of his earlier accolades (for Cabaret). If voters pass him over, that would allow an also-ran to make the cut...but which one? Lestat's Hugh Panaro? The Wedding Singer's Steven Lynch? The ModFab oddsmakers think that, if anybody, they'll go with the weightier work of Leggs, who brings a crusty warmth to Purple's Mister.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR, PLAY
ModFab Predicts: Bradley Cooper, Three Days of Rain; Dominic Cooper, The History Boys; Domhnall Gleeson, The Lieutenant of Inishmore; Zeljko Ivanek, The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial; Ian McDiarmid, Faith Healer
Spoilers: Samuel Barnett, The History Boys; Paul Rudd, Three Days of Rain

The question here is not who will win -- the diabolical Senator Palpatine of the Star Wars movies, Ian McDiarmid, has firmly established himself as the performer to beat. No, the more immediate question is...which History Boy will make the cut? My guess is bad boy Dakin, played by Dominic Cooper, but it could just as easily be Samuel Barnett's sassy Posner, or any of the many major supporting roles. (There's, like, a gazillon of them.) I'm not sure if Paul Rudd is being considered as a lead or supporting, but my guess is that he'll end up caught between mixed reviews and an oddly-shaped role.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR, MUSICAL
ModFab Predicts: Danny Burstein, The Drowsy Chaperone; Jim Dale, The Threepenny Opera; Manoel Felciano, Sweeney Todd; Christian Hoff, Jersey Boys; Michael McKean, The Pajama Game
Spoiler: Shuler Hensley, Tarzan; Daniel Reichard, Jersey Boys

Expect the stage veterans to dominate this category, especially Dale, Burstein, and McKean. The virtuosity of Felciano and the swagger of Hoff should fill the other two spots over lesser candidates (including Kevin Cahoon in The Wedding Singer and Brandon Dixon in The Color Purple) to enter the winner's circle. The wild card? Tony winner Hensley (Oklahoma!), who should get combat pay for being Disney's megilla gorilla.

Previously on ModFab:
Tony Predictions: The Designers and Directors
Tony Predictions: The Women
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home